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Sloooow Hurricane Season

   So how is the "busy hurricane season" doing this year?
 
TC Activity
 
Pretty quiet by the looks of things. Hurricane Dolly made some news last week, but nothing too serious.
 
Actually, what we are wondering is... when is this really busy hurricane season is going to start? Just curious!
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Are We Entering A 30 Year Cooling Period?

 
Will people believe the computer's dire prophecy enough to change their lifestyles? While we wait for 50 million lines of code to reveal the supposed future, consider how things look to one very knowledgeable energy analyst, Vinod K. Dar, who runs Dar & Company, a consultant to the energy industry, in Bethesda, Md. What follows is my own gloss on Dar's analysis. Everything he says, however, squares with all that I've seen and learned in the 30 years I've watched energy markets here and abroad.
 
   A number of influential people in Russia, China, India, Indonesia and Vietnam say the planet is now entering a 30-year cooling period, the second half of a normal cycle driven by cyclical changes in the sun's output and currents in the Pacific Ocean. Their theory leaves true believers in carbon catastrophe livid.
 
He goes on to explain what is happening in the real world and why.
 
In developing countries the political survival of the people at the top depends on providing affordable fuel for kitchens, farms, fertilizer plants, steel mills, highways and power plants. Oil and coal are the only practical fuels at hand.
So what do we do?
 
No serious student of global politics can accept the notion that the world will soon join ranks behind Brussels, Washington and the gloomy computer and its minders. Dar is surely right when he says, "The U.S. and Japan will not tell Asia and Africa to choose poverty, disease, hunger and illiteracy over electricity." Europe might, but nobody will listen. It won't have moral authority until its own citizens are emitting less carbon than Bangladeshis. That won't happen soon.
 
Reality emits greenhouse gases...even when the planet cools.
 
 
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California Regulates Ocean Vessel Emmisions In Ports

   California loves to regulate everything, especially emmisions, and now they will regulate the emissions of ships coming in to the states ports.
 
The California fuel mandate comes amid similar international efforts, but air regulators say the 27 million Californians who breathe polluted air from the state's ports can't wait for those rules, which are being drafted to take effect in 2015.

"The health of our residents is too important to wait for some other international organization to take action," said Jerry Hill, a member of the California Air Resources Board. "The lives saved by the action we took today are significant."

How many lives did they save? Who knows. But they are sure they did! Besides, researchers in California did prove that dirty air can cause cancer in laboratory rats.
 
 
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Energy Price Fixing In Europe

   The six big energy companies in Europe are being accused of price collusion...sort of.
 
   British Gas, npower, Scottish Power, E.ON and SSE, as well as EDF, - are accused of operating in a cosy world of minimal price competition. This created an environment where it was “easy for those players to make informed judgments about the behaviour of their competitors. This alone can distort competition without any actual collusion occurring.”
 
   Sounds exactly like what is happening here. Has not everyone's bill here in the U.S. gone up roughly 75% over the last five years or so?
Xcel Energy, here in Colorado, has asked for an increase in both electricity and gas nearly every year; sometimes twice. I don't think the Colorado Utilities Commision has ever questioned the increases. We just get told that prices will be going up.
 
   Energy seems to be the problem, whether it is supply, demand, price collusion, enviromentalists, global warming, or countries trying to escape the third world designation. We need energy for the human race to function as we do. Without it, we die.
 
   
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California's Green Economy

   This article from SFGate explains how California's global warming legislation passed in 2006 works and some examples of it working.

-- New vehicles sold in the state to emit 30 percent less greenhouse gas on average by 2016 and implementation of the governor's Low Carbon Fuel Standard to reduce carbon intensity of fuels by at least 10 percent.

Plug-in hybrids, running mostly on electricity and a little bit of gasoline, clean fuels and zero-emission electric vehicles offer us the near-term opportunity to dramatically reduce our carbon emissions and chronic air pollution. Two dozen Silicon Valley CEOs and residents will own plug-in hybrids by the end of the year, through a program led by the Silicon Valley Leadership Group.

Tesla Motors, a leading maker of electric cars that just announced a production facility for the Bay Area, has already sold out its entire first year of production. And Amyris, a Bay Area leader in clean-fuel technology, recently joined with a leading Brazilian sugar producer to produce a renewable diesel that reduces emissions by 80 percent.

-- The average energy efficiency of the state's buildings to improve by 25 percent through stricter rules on new construction and through new efforts to retrofit existing structures.

Lighting is a major energy consumer. LED lights, which use one-sixth the energy of incandescent bulbs, are leading the lighting technologies that have attracted at least $100 million in venture capital.

-- A cap-and-trade market, beginning in 2012, that would assign a price on the right to produce greenhouse gases. The right could be sold, allowing the market to find the most cost-efficient reductions in emission.

The goals of the global warming act and an executive order from Gov. Arnold Schwarzenegger are clear: By 2020, we must reduce greenhouse-gas emissions to 1990 levels. By 2050, we must reduce our greenhouse gas emissions by 80 percent below 1990 levels, a goal that will require a per capita reduction closer to 90 percent and the virtual removal of carbon emissions from sectors such as transportation.

   People in California bought hybrids because, besides a tax incentive, the first 85,000 got stickers to travel free in the express lanes. The consequences if that drove the price of a hybrid well above the list price to the point that only the well to do could afford one.
 
   And yes, Tesla Motors is a company that makes electric cars. But this simply not a car for the average consumer. It's a sports car that will cost you $10,000 just to prove your interested in purchasing one. The final price on a 2009 model is $109,000! Guess what...only the wealthy can afford that.
 
   Next we have low carbon fuel standards. Basically, California is requiring oil companies, refineries, etc. that all fuel produced must meet a new lower standard of carbon emmisions produced by the burning of fossil fuel. Ethanol seems to be the product of choice. And as we are now experiencing, food prices have sky-rocketed becuase of the heavy subsidies the government is giving farmers to grow corn instead of anything else (never mind the nutty farm bill that passed last month). Ethanol based fuel also burns less effecient, while E85 flex fuel has been proven too burns 29% less effecient then regular gasoline. Flex fuel costs less per gallon, but if you have to by 30% more of it, how is that helping?
 
   LED lighting is actually the one good idea in the article, the only problem being is the funny color of the light it emits. Engineering will eventually fix that problem.
 
   So, what does all of this mean? The average citizen in California will be forced to buy cars that cost more to purchase and fill up. Solar and wind energy are not yet cost effecient, but the citizens of California will have to pay for that energy.
 
   Then of course there is cap and trade. We already know it doesn't work. The EU has been at it for years and it has only breed corruptiion, made the trading companies wealthy, and done nothing for the environment.
   
      These are ambitious goals - yet achievable with the right policies. Through technology, visionary public policy and human commitment, California can lead the way in a carbon-constrained world.
 
 
   The human commitment is high, that is for sure, at least for the citizens of California.
 
 
 
 
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